According to Informa Telecoms & Media, the number of mobile subscriptions worldwide will reach 2.14 billion by the end of 2005, having already surpassed the 1.8 billion mark. Building on record growth of 354 million in 2004, net additions are again expected to exceed 350 million in 2005. Rapid growth in key developing markets will not be offset by a decline in mature markets to the extent previously expected. Reductions in access fees in expanding markets such as Nigeria and Mexico have had an impact on short-term growth. The Russian mobile market grew by 89 percent in 2004 on the back of four previous years of annual growth in excess of 100 percent, and Russia alone is forecast to account for 43 percent of net additions in Central and Eastern Europe in 2005-2010. The Chinese mobile market, which exceeded the 400-million-subscription mark in March 2005, is forecast to grow by 65 percent by the end of 2010. Indonesia is forecast to exceed 50 million subscriptions in 2007. According to Informa the global penetration rate is just 28 percent, meaning that there are still more than four billion potential new mobile users worldwide.
Every executive who has approved a connected product roadmap has made a quiet assumption: the network underneath it will still be there. That assumption is about to be tested at a scale the automotive industry has never faced. The global connected vehicle installed base is heading toward a billion units, and the cellular technology most of those vehicles depend on is scheduled to begin its retirement before the end of the decade. For automakers, fleet operators, insurers, and the telecom carriers that serve them, the question is whether the recurring revenue those services promise can survive a connectivity layer with a shorter life than the vehicle carrying it. How Scale Meets an Expiry Date Omdia research forecasts that the global connected vehicle installed base will surpass 1.05 billion units by 2035, up from 473.7 million in 2025. Few installed bases of any kind more than double in a decade, and this one signals that connectivity is moving from premium differentiator to baseline e...