Digital video recorders will be in 47 percent of U.S. homes by 2010, growing their installed base from 7 million households at the end of 2004 to 55 million in five years, according to a report from New York-based JupiterResearch. "While TV networks and their advertisers may get increasingly anxious about DVRs, some constituencies have another perspective. Pay TV operators will see the DVR playing an increasingly strategic role over the next two to three years," said JupiterResearch analyst Todd Chanko. Jupiter also predicts that HDTV monitors will grow from an installed based of 13 million in 2004, to 74 million by 2010. While less than 4 million of current HDTV households were subscribed to an HDTV service at the end of 2004, that number is expected to grow to 69 million by 2010. "Television networks and pay-TV operators alike are unsure of consumer demand for HDTV," said Chanko. "Behind closed doors the executives are still measuring the real costs to produce and distribute HDTV against the benefits. That's why there are only 26 hours of HDTV programming a day across seven broadcast networks."
Every product roadmap conversation with a technology vendor now runs through one filter that has nothing to do with the roadmap itself: does the company have an AI story that a buyer's finance team would actually underwrite. Forrester Research just gave that gut check a formal structure. Its newly introduced AI Disruption Model evaluates 17 technology and service categories, spanning more than 200 individual markets, against nine factors including AI substitutability, labor intensity, and switching costs. The finding that should reorder tech vendor strategy conversations this quarter is not which markets grow. It is how few of them do, and what that scarcity means for everyone else. Only Three Categories Get an Unambiguous Green Light According to the research, infrastructure providers such as cloud platforms, data centers, and storage; data and AI providers spanning models, platforms, and governance tooling; and cybersecurity and identity providers covering zero trust and AI agent...