Skip to main content

Broadband Service Provider Capex Outlook

Infonetics Research has released the fourth quarter (4Q08) edition of its Service Provider Routers and Switches report. A key indicator of recent capital expense investment decisions, and the associated market outlook.

At the tail end of a great 2008, we saw the effects of carrier cautiousness in the service provider router and switch market, as IP edge and core routers, carrier Ethernet switches, and multiservice ATM switches were all down sequentially in the fourth quarter, normally a strong quarter for this market.

The good news is that IP edge and core routers are up year-over-year and as compared to the fourth quarter of 2007, indicating the general trend is also up. Still, the down fourth quarter is a bellwether, and Infonetics expects a slight dip in the overall market in 2009 before resuming growth in 2010.

Other highlights from the Infonetics study include:

- The worldwide service provider router and switch market grew 15 percent in 2008 over 2007 to $12.8 billion, but declined 6 percent in 4Q08 over 3Q08.

- 2008 was a great year for routers, with IP edge and IP core routers up a combined 26 percent in 2008.

- Carrier Ethernet switches dipped 4 percent in 2008, as many Ethernet-configured and -priced edge routers were purchased for Ethernet access transport applications rather than CES products.

- Multiservice ATM switches continued their expected decline in 2008, dropping below $1 billion for the first time in many years, with their only staying power provided by mobile backhaul networks.

- Sales of service provider routers and switches varied widely region to region in 4Q08, with strong sales in Central and Latin America, led by Cisco, helping to offset declines in Asia-Pacific, EMEA, and North America.

- For the year, Cisco maintains its strong leadership in the combined IP edge router and IP core router segments, although Juniper, Alcatel-Lucent, Huawei, Ericsson-Redback and Tellabs all gained revenue market share in 2008.

Popular posts from this blog

Semiconductor Economics Rewritten by AI Demand

Semiconductor forecasts rarely move enough to reshape an enterprise boardroom budget conversation. Omdia's latest worldwide market study findings does exactly that. The research firm has raised its 2026 global semiconductor revenue forecast to 94.1 percent year-over-year growth, an increase driven almost entirely by memory pricing tied to artificial intelligence infrastructure. For technology executives, the number itself matters less than what sits underneath it. Applied-AI demand has now outrun the industry's capacity to produce and package the chips it needs, and Omdia expects that imbalance to persist through early 2027. The Semiconductor Forecast Revision Memory integrated circuits, DRAM and NAND combined, are now projected to account for more than 50 percent of total semiconductor revenue in 2026. That threshold has rarely been crossed in the industry's history. It marks a structural shift in where chip economics get decided. Logic used to set the pace of the industr...