Skip to main content

Mobile VoIP is a Threat to the Legacy Telcos

Why all the fuss about the Google Voice service? Let me share my perspective. I've been a user since the Grand Central beta launch. It's innovative, a wonderful productivity enhancement tool, easy to configure, and it's free to use with any mobile phone.

So, why don't Telcos use their service delivery platforms to create these new offerings?

In-Stat believes Mobile VoIP could pose a direct threat to service provider voice revenue. The cost to a mobile subscriber for a minute of voice is at the center of the storm with Mobile VoIP promising to fundamentally change mobile voice economics.

The consumer cost of a minute of voice from a wireless operator can be as high as 45 cents. Admittedly, a rate as high as this would be for overage fees above a standard rate plan. Given rate plans, free week-ends, free weeknights, unlimited calling circles and other plan complexities driven by innovative marketing practices, the actual cost per minute to a subscriber is about 5 cents.

According to Kineto, Mobile VoIP will typically use about 30 kbps. Assuming that a person's cellular subscription with a mobile operator provides a 5 gigabyte mobile data cap for which they pay $30 per month, one could talk for roughly 22,222 minutes using Mobile VoIP over their data plan.

That works out to 0.135 cents minute. While using over 20,000 minutes per month isn't realistic, it does point out that Mobile VoIP offers the potential for unlimited voice calls for $30 per month.

In recent research, In-Stat asserted that Mobile VoIP is moving beyond its initial function as a new mechanism to get inexpensive international calls. While Mobile VoIP poses a direct threat to operator voice revenue, it also represents a dynamic new capability that promises numerous applications.

In-Stat projects that by 2013 Mobile VoIP applications will generate annual revenues of $32.2 billion, driven by over 278 million registered users worldwide, with revenue and users associated with Mobile VoIP being distributed among online Mobile VoIP services, 3G-Based Mobile VoIP offerings, and WiMAX/LTE Mobile VoIP offerings.

Applications such as Skype and Vonage have influenced users to think of voice as a data application. The increasing penetration of Wi-Fi in mobile devices was the beach head that Mobile VoIP applications needed. As user habits are being shaped by rich on-line communication experiences, mobile carriers' control over devices and data applications is waning.

Mobile carrier attempts to slow the spread of on-line Mobile VoIP are proving to be a challenge as well. The ominous cloud of packetized voice is on the horizon, and according to the In-Stat assessment, the compelling economics cannot be ignored.

Popular posts from this blog

How AI Reshapes a $360 Billion Foundry Market

Few technology sectors sit as close to the center of gravity in today's artificial intelligence (AI) economy as semiconductor manufacturing. Every AI chip that trains a frontier model, every GPU that powers a data center inference workload, and every power management IC that keeps hyperscaler facilities running traces its origins back to the global Foundry ecosystem. IDC's latest market study throws that reality into sharp relief, projecting that the broadly defined Foundry 2.0 market will surpass $360 billion in 2026, a 17 percent year-over-year gain that would have seemed optimistic even two years ago. For anyone advising boards or investment committees on technology and AI infrastructure strategy, this growth trajectory demands careful consideration. Foundry 2.0 Market Development The umbrella term covers four distinct verticals: pure-play foundry, non-memory integrated device manufacturer (IDM) production, outsourced semiconductor assembly and test (OSAT), and photomask fab...