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Telcos Different Paths to Video

RBOCs Entering the $50 Billion Multichannel Video Market Follow Different Product Development Strategies to Compete With MSOs -- According to Yankee Group, "Despite public statements to the contrary, we believe MSOs aren�t taking the threat of new competition lightly � and they shouldn�t: We estimate cable will lose subscribers at the rate of 0.5-1 percent per year. This is before the entry of new competition with a two-way network, with more bandwidth and potentially more advanced applications than the MSOs can provide. In the last 4 years, RBOCs have steadily lost residential wireline voice subscribers. Yankee estimates that about 4 percent of US households have dropped their wireline phones. In addition, a growing number of voice minutes are shifting to wireless. We expect traditional wireline voice revenue to decline by approximately 24 percent in the next 4 years. Alternative voice providers, including MSOs, will be important drivers of this revenue erosion. We anticipate that cable�s VoIP product will gain 12 million homes by year-end 2008. The RBOCs have their backs up against a wall and cannot postpone new product development."

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