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Showing posts with the label hardware

Frontier AI Peaked. Here's What Comes Next

The prevailing narrative around artificial intelligence (AI) has been one of relentless scale. Bigger models, bigger clusters, bigger budgets. The assumption, largely unchallenged until recently, was that raw parameter count translated directly into competitive advantage. New research from Omdia suggests it's time to retire that assumption. According to the latest market study by Omdia, parameter growth in frontier AI models has slowed to around 5 percent annually since 2021, a stark contrast to the more than hundredfold expansion seen between 2019 and 2021. Enterprise AI Market Development For executives who have been making infrastructure and investment decisions based on the assumption that AI would keep demanding ever-larger, ever-more-expensive hardware, this finding deserves serious attention. The race to the top of the model size leaderboard has, at least for now, plateaued. Crucially, Omdia's analysts are not reading this as an AI winter. Alexander Harrowell, senior pri...

Memory Inflation Reshapes Device Market

Surging memory costs are about to reshape the economics of the global personal computer (PC) and mobile smartphone markets, and not in subtle ways. I see this as more than a cyclical component spike; it is a structural stress test for hardware vendor business models, channel strategies, and digital transformation roadmaps. When DRAM and NAND become the scarce fuel of an AI‑driven world, every assumption about price bands, refresh cycles, and good-enough devices comes under pressure. Device Memory Market Development Gartner now expects soaring memory costs to drive worldwide PC shipments down 10.4 percent and smartphone shipments down 8.4 percent in 2026 versus 2025 – that's the steepest contraction in device shipments in over a decade. This is not about weak demand for compute; it is about a single component class overwhelming the bill of materials and forcing difficult trade‑offs. The key number: combined DRAM and SSD prices are forecast to surge by about 130 percent by the end of...

AI Edge Investment: Real-Time Intelligence

In the past decade, many organizations have pursued a singular vision of cloud-centric transformation; consolidating data, applications, and compute into centralized datacenters managed by hyperscalers. Yet, the explosive growth of connected devices, the rise of Applied-AI and real-time data requirements, and new operational models are reshaping that paradigm. Edge computing — the practice of processing data closer to the source where it is generated — has moved from niche experiment to strategic imperative. According to the latest market study by International Data Corporation (IDC), edge computing is now the new core in the distributed Global Networked Economy. Edge Computing Market Development IDC forecasts global spending on edge computing solutions will reach approximately $450 billion by 2029, that's up from $265 billion in 2025, driven by rapid advancements in edge-based AI workloads, distributed architectures, and enterprise transformation initiatives. Several key data poin...

The Smartphone Market's Premium Pivot

The global smartphone market closed 2025 with a story less about recovery and more about transformation. Premium product, ecosystem lock-in, and manufacturing scale are now the forces shaping competition. For business and technology leaders, the latest IDC market study data confirms that smartphones remain a critical indicator of consumer demand, supply chain health, and AI commercialization at the edge. Smartphone Market Development Global smartphone shipments grew 2.3 percent year-over-year in Q4 2025, reaching 336.3 million units and bringing full-year volumes to 1.26 billion units — a modest 1.9 percent annual increase, according to IDC. This smartphone growth emerged despite a memory shortage crisis, tariff volatility, supply chain disruption, and macroeconomic headwinds. What stabilized demand? Two factors: sustained growth in premium devices and strong foldable momentum, combined with accelerated purchases as consumers bought ahead of anticipated price increases. Buyers weren...

AI and Cloud Upgrades Propel IT Investment

As we move deeper into 2025, the global technology sector is at a crossroads of innovation acceleration and market recalibration. The latest Gartner forecast projects worldwide IT spending to reach $5.43 trillion this year, marking a 7.9 percent increase over 2024. Despite the global economic uncertainty and lingering market caution, organizations are forging ahead with Cloud Computing adoption, and especially Artificial Intelligence (AI) driven transformation. Let's explore where new investment is flowing, what’s guiding decision-makers, and how key technology trends will define the global IT trajectory through the rest of the decade. Enterprise IT Market Development Data Center Systems experience 42.4 percent growth, a historic surge linked directly to global investments in AI-ready infrastructure. Software and IT Services remain pillars of growth, showing significant expansion as organizations persist in their digital transformation journey. Device spending, including PCs and mo...

AI and Cloud Spending Ignite Server Growth

The global IT server market is undergoing a transformation, fueled by the insatiable demand for cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. As organizations across industries race to harness the power of advanced AI models, the underlying hardware ecosystem is experiencing unprecedented growth and innovation. The latest worldwide IDC market study offers a compelling view, revealing record-breaking numbers and the strategic technology shifts shaping the future of enterprise computing. Cloud Server Market Development The most striking statistic from IDC’s 2025 analysis is the sheer scale and velocity of market expansion. The worldwide server market is projected to reach $366 billion in 2025, representing a 44.6 percent increase over 2024. This surge is not a one-off anomaly; it is the culmination of several quarters of explosive growth, with the first quarter of 2025 alone recording $95.2 billion in server sales --that's up 134.1 percent year-over-year (YoY). Key...

Trends Shaping the Global Smartphone Market

There is a pivotal shift within the global smartphone market. Recent data from IDC highlights a more cautious outlook for 2025, with projected worldwide smartphone shipments seeing a significantly reduced growth rate. This revised forecast underscores the intricate interplay of global economic factors and geopolitical dynamics on pervasive personal communication devices. IDC's latest update projects a mere 0.6 percent growth in worldwide smartphone shipments for 2025, a stark reduction from the earlier 2.3 percent expectation. Global Smartphone Market Development This recalibration is largely attributed to prevailing economic uncertainties, including inflationary pressures and rising unemployment, alongside the persistent specter of tariff volatility. Despite these global tensions, it's interesting to note that the United States and China are still identified as the primary drivers of this modest growth. China, a critical market, is forecast to achieve a 3 percent year-over-yea...

Rise of Software-Defined LEO Satellites

From my vantage point, few areas are evolving as rapidly and with such profound implications as the space sector. For decades, satellites were essentially fixed hardware – powerful, expensive, but ultimately immutable once launched. That paradigm is undergoing a transition driven by Software-Defined Satellites (SDS). A recent market study by ABI Research underscores this transition, painting a picture of technological advancement and a fundamental reshaping of global connectivity, security, and national interests. LEO SDS Market Development The core concept behind SDS is deceptively simple yet revolutionary: decouple the satellite's capabilities from its physical hardware. Instead of launching a satellite designed for a single, fixed purpose (like broadcasting specific frequencies to a specific region), SDS allows operators to modify, upgrade, and reconfigure a satellite's functions after it's in orbit, primarily through software updates. The ABI Research report highlights ...

AI Infrastructure $100B Investment Drives Growth

The growth trajectory of artificial intelligence (AI) enterprise applications continues to accelerate, and its impact on global IT infrastructure spending is also remarkable. The recent market study by International Data Corporation (IDC) provides compelling evidence of AI's explosive growth and implications for the Global Networked Economy . By 2028, global investment in AI infrastructure is projected to surpass the $100 billion mark, underscoring the technology's pivotal role in shaping the future of business and society. Artificial Intelligence Infrastructure Market Development This growth is not a sudden phenomenon but rather the result of sustained investment over time. The AI infrastructure market has experienced double-digit growth for nine consecutive half-years, with no signs of slowing down. In the first half of 2024 alone, organizations increased their spending on compute and storage hardware infrastructure for AI deployments by 37 percent year-over-year, reaching an...

Our Future Reality is Augmented or Virtual

As an independent management consultant, I've had a front-row seat observing how emerging technologies are transforming industries across the globe. One trend that can no longer be ignored is the rise of Augmented Reality (AR) and Virtual Reality (VR). According to the latest ABI Research forecast, the global AR and VR markets are poised for explosive growth over the next six years, projected to increase 60 percent and 44 percent respectively from 2024 to 2030. AR and VR Apps Market Development The implications of this forecast are significant. We are on the cusp of a new era where immersive digital experiences will revolutionize how we work, learn, receive healthcare, manufacture products, and entertain ourselves online.  A potent fusion of AR/VR hardware and software innovations -- combined with Artificial Intelligence (AI) capabilities -- is supercharging these emerging technology applications. "Together with continual improvements in hardware, allowing for more user-friend...

European AI to Reach $47.6 Billion in 2024

The European Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Generative AI (GenAI) market will reach $47.6 billion in 2024 and record a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.7 percent over the 2022-2027 forecast period. Europe represents around one-fifth of the global AI market according to the latest worldwide market study by International Data Corporation (IDC). While the share of GenAI reached only 9.6 percent of the total European AI market in 2023, it is increasing rapidly. Investment in GenAI will grow more than three times as fast as spending on the rest of the artificial intelligence market. As a result, GenAI will be more than a quarter of the European AI market in 2027. European AI Market Development Software will be the largest technology segment in 2024, with a market value higher than hardware and services combined. Furthermore, software is expected to have the fastest growth during 2022-2027, driven by demand for AI applications and platforms. The share of hardware technologies will...

Generative AI Drives Edge Computing Growth

The growing need for real-time, localized artificial intelligence (AI) processing power drives demand for Generative AI (GenAI) solutions on public cloud edge computing platforms. Worldwide spending on edge computing is forecast to reach $232 billion in 2024 -- that's an increase of 15.4 percent over 2023, according to the latest market study by International Data Corporation (IDC). Combined enterprise and service provider spending across hardware, software, professional services, and provisioned services for edge solutions will sustain strong growth through 2027 when spending is forecast to reach nearly $350 billion. Edge Computing Market Development IDC defines edge as the information and communications technology (ICT) related actions performed outside of the centralized data center, where edge computing is the intermediary between the connected endpoints and the core enterprise IT environment. Characteristically, edge computing is distributed, software-defined, and flexible. T...

Exploring the AI-Driven Warehouse Frenzy

The once-quiet hum of the warehouse is being overtaken by a new rhythm – the whirring wheels and gentle beeps of mobile robots. As eCommerce booms and customer expectations soar, the pressure is on for faster, more efficient online purchase fulfillment. Warehouse automation has mostly been taken on by big organizations with deep pockets, but growing accessibility and maturing vendors are allowing solutions to trickle down and grow through the market.  According to the latest worldwide market study by ABI Research, the global installed base of Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMRs) in warehouses will surpass 500,000 by 2030. Mobile Robotics Market Development "There are now many options to automate a warehouse. Both stationary and mobile automation solutions have continued to expand to new form factors and are becoming more effective as Artificial Intelligence (AI) processing grows," said Ryan Wiggin, industry analyst at ABI Research . After their year in the spotlight with high-prof...

Why GenAI Investment will Double in 2024

In 2024, every business can be a technology-driven business. The quest for business technology leadership skills, and digital transformation, will gain new momentum as more organizations seek ways to drive net-new digital growth. Large enterprises will invest more than $19.4 billion worldwide in Generative Artificial Intelligence (GenAI) solutions in 2023, according to the latest market study by International Data Corporation (IDC). This spending, which includes GenAI software as well as related infrastructure hardware and IT or business services, is expected to more than double in 2024 and reach $151.1 billion in 2027 -- that's with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 86.1 percent over the 2023-2027 forecast period. Artificial Intelligence Market Development Despite the recent IT headwinds in 2023, business leaders accelerated their exploration of GenAI solutions to help boost their digital business transformation. "In 2024, the shift to AI everywhere will enter a critic...

Demand for Quantum Computing as a Service

The enterprise demand for quantum computing is still in its early stages, growing slowly. As the technology becomes more usable, we may see demand evolve beyond scientific applications. The global quantum computing market is forecast to grow from $1.1 billion in 2022 to $7.6 billion in 2027, according to the latest worldwide market study by International Data Corporation (IDC). That's a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 48.1 percent. The forecast includes base Quantum Computing as a Service, as well as enabling and adjacent Quantum Computing as a Service. However, this updated forecast is considerably lower than IDC's previous quantum computing forecast, which was published in 2021, due to lower demand globally. Quantum Computing Market Development In the interim, customer spend for quantum computing has been negatively impacted by several factors, including: slower than expected advances in quantum hardware development, which have delayed potential return on inve...

Why Digital Transformation Spending is Resilient

Recent news headlines may not instill confidence in the overall Global Networked Economy, but that doesn't discourage spending on Digital Transformation initiatives that are focused on creating new  business models. IT market performance remained patchy in April, with some vendors experiencing a sharp decline in growth while others continued to benefit from long-term enterprise commitment to digital business. According to the latest worldwide market study by International Data Corporation (IDC), overall growth this year in constant currency will reach 4.8 percent to $3.27 trillion -- that's a slight improvement, which reflects the continued IT services market performance. IT Services Market Development IT services growth this year will be almost 6 percent, as large enterprises remain committed to long-term digital transformation investments despite the recent short-term economic turbulence. Overall software spending growth will be almost 11 percent, driven mostly by cloud soft...

Global Digital Business and IT Consulting Outlook

Across the globe, CEOs and their leadership teams continue to seek information and guidance about planned Digital Transformation initiatives and the most effective enterprise organization change management practices. Worldwide IT and Business Services revenue will grow from $1.13 trillion in 2022 to $1.2 trillion in 2023 -- that's a 5.7 percent year-over-year growth, according to the latest market study by International Data Corporation (IDC). The mid-term to long-term outlook for the market has also increased -- the five-year CAGR is forecast at 5.2 percent, compared to the previous 4.9 percent. Digital Sevices & Consulting Market Development IDC has raised the growth projection despite a weak economic outlook, because of vendor performances across 2022, growth indicators from adjacent markets, increased government funding, and inflation impacts. The actual 2022 market growth was 6.7 percent (in constant currency), which was 87 basis points higher than forecast last year, alth...