Skip to main content

Internet-Capable Game Console Forecast

The video game software business, while currently stuck in a trough, figures to roar back to new heights in the next three years. The next generation consoles now coming to market have Internet access that will allow massively multiplayer online games, where gamers play against each other in a virtual world.

Up to now, interactive MMOGs have been the province of the personal computer format � Sony's EverQuest and Blizzard Entertainment's World of Warcraft for example. "More than 50 percent of all Xbox 360 game consoles worldwide are now connected to Xbox Live, vs. a 10 percent uptake of Internet services for the first Xbox," notes Kagan Research analyst Irina Mulvey.

The next generation consoles with online capabilities are Microsoft's Xbox 360 that launched last November, and Sony's PlayStation 3 and the Nintendo Revolution, scheduled for introduction late this year.

Video game software for the dedicated consoles/handhelds � which generates about $6 billion at the U.S. consumer spend level � fell 3 percent last year (hardware and software combined were $9.2 billion). The slump is due to consumers and software companies focused on next generation hardware, and due to the delayed release of some high profile titles. Kagan Research forecasts console game software revenue will soar 35 percent in the next three years, riding the wave of new generation consoles.

Popular posts from this blog

Frontier AI Peaked. Here's What Comes Next

The prevailing narrative around artificial intelligence (AI) has been one of relentless scale. Bigger models, bigger clusters, bigger budgets. The assumption, largely unchallenged until recently, was that raw parameter count translated directly into competitive advantage. New research from Omdia suggests it's time to retire that assumption. According to the latest market study by Omdia, parameter growth in frontier AI models has slowed to around 5 percent annually since 2021, a stark contrast to the more than hundredfold expansion seen between 2019 and 2021. Enterprise AI Market Development For executives who have been making infrastructure and investment decisions based on the assumption that AI would keep demanding ever-larger, ever-more-expensive hardware, this finding deserves serious attention. The race to the top of the model size leaderboard has, at least for now, plateaued. Crucially, Omdia's analysts are not reading this as an AI winter. Alexander Harrowell, senior pri...