Skip to main content

Consumers Churn Less Than You May Think

With media platforms proliferating, consumers could be expected to jump around a lot. However, there's surprising stability in subscription media, despite growing choices.

As an example, cell phone operator Verizon Wireless cut its average monthly churn to 1.26 percent in 2005, down sharply from 2.52 percent in 2001. Those figures average both postpaid and prepaid mobile phone customers. Churn is a metric expressing turnover of subscribers as a percentage of the existing base, usually on a monthly basis but also quarterly or annually.

Kagan forecasts that subscriber churn in basic cable TV, which stood at 2.4 percent per month industrywide last year, will decline as bundling with high speed Internet and voice services fosters subscriber loyalty.

The overall trend to greater stability is a result of numerous factors, which vary by media sector. A consequence of intense competition is discounting, which reduces prices differences and therefore narrows competitive differences. To get low bundle rates, subscribers often must commit to service contracts, which tie them down (or, simply ask for a lower price, from the customer retention department).

Although lower churn is good news, it potentially may raise subscriber acquisition costs (SAC) since it means there's a relatively small pool of available subscribers up for grabs. DIRECTV � which is being more selective by focusing on big spenders � averaged $642 in SAC in 2005, while middle-market rival EchoStar's DISH Network weighed in at $688 in SAC. This is a per-capita metric in which the total marketing expense for gross additions is divided by net new subs (gross additions minus churned subscribers).

Regarding declining mobile phone churn, Kagan Research credits improved networks that mean fewer lost calls; a trend to add new features that reduces differences between carriers; and a wave of mergers.

Popular posts from this blog

Enterprise AI Coding Agents Gain Momentum

What started as a convenience tool for developers writing faster software boilerplate code has evolved into something considerably more consequential: an autonomous layer of software engineering capability that is beginning to restructure how organizations design, build, and govern technology at scale. Gartner's latest market study and analysis of this market makes one thing clear. This is no longer a story about productivity enhancement at the margins. It is a story about competitive realignment at the platform level, with trillion-dollar implications for the vendors who supply these tools and the enterprises deciding which ones to trust with their core development infrastructure. AI Coding Agents Market Development The scale of the market alone signals how far this category has matured. Enterprise AI coding agents are now capturing a growing share of enterprise software engineering spend, with the market estimated at roughly $9.8 billion to $11 billion annualized as of April 2026...