Skip to main content

UK Planning for Superfast Broadband Adoption

According to the latest market study by Point Topic, the total number of broadband lines in the UK is now expected to be 25.1 million by the end of 2014 -- almost a million more than before.

The increase is not huge but it will help to improve the business case for broadband, and particularly for investment in superfast broadband using next generation access.

The short-term forecasts have also been increased. The actual total for the end of 2009 was 80,000 higher than forecast at 18,370,000 lines. The forecast for the end of 2010 has been increased to 19,790,000, up from 19,580,000 previously.

Looking back, projections such as these made by Point Topic are also proving highly accurate. The forecast for end-2009 made in October 2007 was within 1 percent of the actual result. The current forecast for end-2010 is just 1.2 percent higher than the forecast published in 2007.

A major feature of the longer-term forecasts is the dramatic growth projected for superfast broadband, mainly based on fiber to the cabinet or premises (FTTx). Contrary to much opinion, Point Topic is projecting a boom in FTTx similar to what happened with BT's DSL broadband services in mid-2000 time frame.

"We believe that FTTx will echo the development of DSL in the UK," says Tim Johnson, Chief Analyst at Point Topic. "People with dial-up internet access converted to broadband in their millions in the boom years. We forecast that superfast broadband will do the same around the middle of this coming decade."

The number of DSL lines grew from 550,000 to 12.3 million between 2003 and 2007. Point Topic now expects that next-generation FTTx broadband will do something similar, with 12 million lines by the end of 2016. Most of these users will have migrated from DSL. Cable TV service providers will also play a significant role in providing superfast broadband, but is expected to show a lower growth-rate overall.

"The difference is that we think there will be a quicker run-up this time," says Johnson. "While it took DSL three years to get from almost nothing to half a million, we expect that FTTx will cover similar ground in only two years."

The difference reflects a whole combination of factors; much greater commitment by BT, a much more competitive market, much more experience of broadband rollout and a relatively mature technology.

Key factors on the other side of the balance are that FTTx demands much more new investment than DSL and superfast broadband is not yet fully proven as a must-have service for ordinary homes.

Popular posts from this blog

Digital Transformation Investment at $3.4 Trillion

Business technology leadership matters. Across the globe, more leaders have been pursuing bold Digital Transformation (DX) initiatives with the goal of creating new sources of business value through digital products, services, and experiences. As an additional benefit, the COVID-19 pandemic revealed that digital transformation efforts improve an organization's resilience against global market disruptions. Global DX investment is forecast to reach $3.4 trillion in 2026 with a five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 16.3 percent, according to the latest worldwide market study by International Data Corporation (IDC). Digital Transformation Market Development "Despite strong headwinds from global supply chain constraints, soaring inflation, political uncertainty, and an impending recession, investment in digital transformation is expected to remain robust," said Craig Simpson, senior research manager at IDC . The benefits of investing in DX technology -- including aut

Artificial Intelligence for National Border Security

National border protection agencies are under pressure to provide the highest level of security in the face of growing threats, such as increasing illegal migration and international terrorism. Now, government agencies are embracing advanced border security technologies to aid in effectively and reliably securing national borders. These solutions look to detect and identify potential threats and prevent them from escalating to a point that may jeopardize security. Security Surveillance Market Development Traditional border security patrols and Closed-circuit Television (CCTV) surveillance systems aren't adequate protection, and agencies must increasingly deploy new solutions to stay ahead of criminals and other potential threats to ensure the safety of a country’s borders. According to the latest market study by Juniper Research, the value of the border security technology market will exceed $70 billion globally in 2027 -- that's rising from $48 billion in 2022. Growing by 47 p

Precision Medicine Spend to Reach $132.3 Billion

Precision Medicine uses molecular info to extract the optimum medical method from diagnostic protocols, by merging the impact of environmental and genetic factors. Data access is essential, with genetic metabolic and clinical data used to build a fuller picture of a patient's biology. Moreover, the primary aim of precision medicine is to design and optimize a pathway for diagnosis, therapeutic intervention, and prognosis, using large biological datasets. Personalized, evidence-based medicine uses stored health data, which includes patient diagnosis, laboratory work, insurance claims, and demographic information. The results enable healthcare providers to predict and prevent some illnesses. Precision Medicine Market Development According to the latest worldwide market study by Juniper Research, the total investment in precision medicine will reach $132.3 billion globally by 2027 -- that's increasing from only $35.7 billion in 2022. The significant market growth of 270 percent is